Trade

Following players are available for trade:

Scottie Upshall

Brad Boyes

Mike Green

Tobias Enstrom

 

December 1st, 2011 Free Agency Results

Absolutely nothing to report :)  Nobody has room!  :)

Note that if the signing sheet says 0% resign probabilty, you have 0% chance of signing said player :)   Player discounts are being given throughout the year (only on the 1 year portion).  What kind of discount by now? Teemu Selanne one year term was 8.3mil at the beginning and is now 7mil, and yes he's just that awesome that he'd rather sit than play for pennies.

Valuation of Hockey Players - The Luongo Dilemma

This is a follow up on the Pythagorean formula discussion, and focuses on the NHL and the Vancouver Canucks.  A lot of people have ragged on Luongo (myself included).  I wanted to objectively value his worth.  

 

The Pythagorean formula to determine winning percentages has long been used in sabermetrics.  The formula is best summarized as:

Wining % = GF^2 / (GF^2 + GA^2)

Where GF = goals for, and GA = goals against.

This article is used to illustrate the value of Roberto Luongo.  

Predicted Win % - Pythagorean Theorem

Bombers GM has looked at the predicted rankings based on the pythagorean theorem

Winning % =              (Goals For)2                

                    (Goals For)2 + (Goals Against)2

Results:

Simulator is fairly reflective of the formula with actual win% vs predicted win% having an R-squared of 0.6891.  (Predicted win on x-axis, actual win y-axis).